Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.177567 0.206314 0.238278 0.276466 0.320870 0.370900 0.431589
2025-03-30 0.128498 0.165480 0.211027 0.271305 0.349099 0.446279 0.577179
2025-04-06 0.103208 0.142640 0.194739 0.268728 0.371346 0.509029 0.708474
2025-04-13 0.087098 0.127497 0.184012 0.269028 0.394090 0.571984 0.845519
2025-04-20 0.078419 0.120662 0.182764 0.280981 0.433062 0.660698 1.029448
2025-04-27 0.071047 0.114295 0.180756 0.290680 0.468882 0.748085 1.222045
2025-05-04 0.064723 0.108430 0.178364 0.298861 0.502568 0.835349 1.425016
2025-05-11 0.058286 0.101362 0.172898 0.300894 0.525826 0.907748 1.611901
2025-05-18 0.052025 0.093672 0.165272 0.297966 0.539732 0.965303 1.779601
2025-05-25 0.045742 0.085080 0.154938 0.288738 0.540918 1.000093 1.909873
2025-06-01 0.042696 0.081932 0.153812 0.295918 0.572629 1.093158 2.159787
2025-06-08 0.039197 0.077472 0.149689 0.296812 0.592287 1.165567 2.378438
2025-06-15 0.036523 0.074365 0.147916 0.302362 0.622375 1.262952 2.662706
2025-06-22 0.032897 0.068926 0.140983 0.296773 0.629428 1.315679 2.862787
2025-06-29 0.029997 0.064605 0.135749 0.293949 0.641691 1.380218 3.096140
2025-07-06 0.027722 0.061316 0.132233 0.294278 0.660617 1.460853 3.375320
2025-07-13 0.026767 0.060769 0.134449 0.307369 0.709247 1.611795 3.834169
2025-07-20 0.025668 0.059762 0.135526 0.317991 0.753534 1.758268 4.302272
2025-07-27 0.024521 0.058502 0.135878 0.326952 0.795003 1.903178 4.786159
2025-08-03 0.023003 0.056182 0.133526 0.329179 0.820557 2.013493 5.199195
2025-08-10 0.021277 0.053155 0.129165 0.325972 0.832298 2.091666 5.540891
2025-08-17 0.019307 0.049295 0.122371 0.315865 0.825352 2.122506 5.762926
2025-08-24 0.018523 0.048339 0.122603 0.323729 0.865834 2.278890 6.343355